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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%

YNT

Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
44%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 9 games
44%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
DarkLord^ · 9 games
33%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 8 games
25%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
jesv · 8 games
38%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
jesv · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
456 picks · 283 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
446 picks · 609 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
409 picks · 476 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
371 picks · 491 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
362 picks · 779 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 517 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
319 picks · 494 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
317 picks · 465 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 30%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:37
Rune Eaters 78%YNT 22%
The model gave 78% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by YNT in 43:06.
Game 2prediction missed9:28
Rune Eaters 78%YNT 22%
The model gave 78% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by YNT in 25:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 78%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2