DreamLeague Season 28. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Second Windloss 0:1series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TPTrailer Park Boyswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Second Wind
No games played over 6 months.
Trailer Park Boys
Shadow Shaman
NARMAN · 3 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 2 games
Warlock
Se · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
eleven · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
eleven · 1 game
Chenoften banned
Se · 1 game
Disruptor
Se · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
567 picks · 642 bans
Tusk
503 picks · 329 bans
Dragon Knight
492 picks · 685 bans
Snapfire
461 picks · 171 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 526 bans
Hoodwink
432 picks · 206 bans
Mars
392 picks · 527 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 499 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Trailer Park Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Trailer Park Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Second Wind 14%Trailer Park Boys 86%
The model gave 86% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrailer Park Boys · 86%
Series resultTrailer Park Boys 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1