The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Selva Esportsloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
RisingRagewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Selva Esports
No games played over 6 months.
RisingRage
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 1 game
Hoodwink
Kiri · 1 game
Jakiro
Kiri · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
DM · 1 game
Largooften banned
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Winter Wyvern
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 405 bans
Rubick
528 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 608 bans
Puck
345 picks · 985 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% RisingRage
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Selva Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Selva Esports 56%RisingRage 44%
The model gave 56% on Selva Esports — the game was taken by RisingRage.
Game 2prediction missed
Selva Esports 56%RisingRage 44%
The model gave 56% on Selva Esports — the game was taken by RisingRage.
Model check result
Model favoriteSelva Esports · 56%
Series resultRisingRage 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2