The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Selva Esportswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sadboysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Selva Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Sadboys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
621 picks · 404 bans
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
426 picks · 601 bans
Puck
345 picks · 977 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 287 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Selva Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Selva Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:12
Selva Esports 50%Sadboys 50%
The model gave 50% on Selva Esports — the game was taken by Selva Esports in 29:20.
Game 2prediction correct37:34
Selva Esports 50%Sadboys 50%
The model gave 50% on Selva Esports — the game was taken by Selva Esports in 45:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteSelva Esports · 50%
Series resultSelva Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2