PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSShindennwin 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TRTeam rocket xloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shindenn
No games played over 6 months.
Team rocket x
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
545 picks · 895 bans
Tusk
522 picks · 395 bans
Dragon Knight
479 picks · 649 bans
Centaur Warrunner
473 picks · 601 bans
Shadow Demon
402 picks · 848 bans
Ember Spirit
370 picks · 594 bans
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 576 bans
Mars
351 picks · 494 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Shindenn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team rocket x
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Shindenn 40%Team rocket x 60%
The model gave 60% on Team rocket x — the game was taken by Shindenn.
Game 2prediction correct
Shindenn 40%Team rocket x 60%
The model gave 60% on Team rocket x — the game was taken by Team rocket x.
Game 3prediction missed
Shindenn 40%Team rocket x 60%
The model gave 60% on Team rocket x — the game was taken by Shindenn.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam rocket x · 60%
Series resultShindenn 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3