?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 21 game
71%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 17 games
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Timado · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
73%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Timado · 15 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 14 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Hellscream · 14 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Timado · 13 games
54%

9z Team

Doom
Doomoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 448 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
480 picks · 564 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
353 picks · 711 bans
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 726 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 491 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
303 picks · 255 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
292 picks · 91 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% 9z Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total96% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:8
Shopify Rebellion 85%9z Team 15%
The model gave 85% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 22:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaTimado
61% · 53 games49% · 289 games
Storm SpiritRobo-Z
Storm Spirit
Tiny
TinyYopaj
51% · 188 games47% · 165 games
Underlorddrakesh1t
Underlord
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDavai
51% · 76 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerkHellscream
45% · 107 games
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSkem
52% · 30 games
Game 2prediction correct15:35
Shopify Rebellion 96%9z Team 4%
The model gave 96% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 23:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 96%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2