RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
SIBE Teamloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 33 games
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 25 games
Batrideroften banned
sunset · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 17 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
SOhY · 15 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
ряф^^ · 15 games
Dark Willowoften banned
sunset · 13 games
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 13 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
374 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 362 bans
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 439 bans
Weaver
298 picks · 538 bans
Rubick
285 picks · 174 bans
Hoodwink
284 picks · 176 bans
Centaur Warrunner
282 picks · 379 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total71% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:33
SIBE Team 29%Team Tea 71%
The model gave 71% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 42:31.
Game 2prediction correct41:19
SIBE Team 29%Team Tea 71%
The model gave 71% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 25:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 71%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2