?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sigma.YNTloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
cybercatswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Sigma.YNT

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 29 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
toshiyb · 18 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
toshiyb · 16 games
75%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
kur0patbI4 · 15 games
60%
Dazzle
Dazzle
dSa · 14 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dSa · 13 games
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
v1olent- · 12 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
kur0patbI4 · 12 games
42%

cybercats

Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 17 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fezor · 15 games
53%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 14 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
DkFogas · 13 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
DkFogas · 9 games
44%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
DkFogas · 9 games
56%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Fezor · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
378 picks · 366 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
337 picks · 342 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
302 picks · 219 bans
58%
Mirana
Mirana
274 picks · 272 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
197 picks · 146 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
194 picks · 107 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
187 picks · 247 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
185 picks · 508 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Sigma.YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Sigma.YNT 53%cybercats 47%
The model gave 53% on Sigma.YNT — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 2prediction correct
Sigma.YNT 53%cybercats 47%
The model gave 53% on Sigma.YNT — the game was taken by Sigma.YNT.
Game 3prediction missed
Sigma.YNT 53%cybercats 47%
The model gave 53% on Sigma.YNT — the game was taken by cybercats.
Model check result
Model favoriteSigma.YNT · 53%
Series resultcybercats 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3