European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sigma.YNTloss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Monaspawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sigma.YNT
Tinyoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 29 games
Pangolieroften banned
toshiyb · 18 games
Batridersignature
toshiyb · 16 games
Skywrath Magesignature
kur0patbI4 · 15 games
Dazzle
dSa · 14 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dSa · 13 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
v1olent- · 12 games
Marcioften banned
kur0patbI4 · 12 games
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
381 picks · 370 bans
Tiny
338 picks · 347 bans
Rubick
306 picks · 222 bans
Mirana
275 picks · 276 bans
Crystal Maiden
200 picks · 147 bans
Snapfire
197 picks · 108 bans
Treant Protector
191 picks · 251 bans
Pangolier
185 picks · 510 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Sigma.YNT
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Sigma.YNT 37%Monaspa 63%
The model gave 63% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa.
Game 2prediction correct
Sigma.YNT 37%Monaspa 63%
The model gave 63% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Monaspa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 63%
Series resultMonaspa 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2