PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSskem&friendswin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Salvation Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
skem&friends
No games played over 6 months.
Salvation Gaming
Gyrocopteroften banned
YoungGodLevi · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 7 games
Lion
Dric~ · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
Rubick
Dric~ · 4 games
Terrorblade
LOyd · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
419 picks · 307 bans
Hoodwink
416 picks · 437 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 824 bans
Tiny
390 picks · 885 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 714 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 512 bans
Clockwerk
350 picks · 483 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 535 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 31%
Hero pool strength59% skem&friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% skem&friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:8
skem&friends 61%Salvation Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on skem&friends — the game was taken by skem&friends in 22:58.
Game 2prediction correct
skem&friends 61%Salvation Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on skem&friends — the game was taken by skem&friends.
Model check result
Model favoriteskem&friends · 61%
Series resultskem&friends 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2