Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Slot Seekerswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Monaspaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Slot Seekers
Ogre Magi
Flash · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
ZipZaper · 4 games
Bane
Flash · 2 games
Lunaoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
Marsoften banned
ZipZaper · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Coblackk · 1 game
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
255 picks · 357 bans
Tidehunter
255 picks · 382 bans
Monkey King
253 picks · 589 bans
Bane
223 picks · 154 bans
Void Spirit
215 picks · 252 bans
Lion
214 picks · 100 bans
Lina
211 picks · 456 bans
Pangolier
206 picks · 255 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Slot Seekers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:18
Slot Seekers 47%Monaspa 53%
The model gave 53% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 38:03.
Game 2prediction missed45:23
Slot Seekers 47%Monaspa 53%
The model gave 53% on Monaspa — the game was taken by Slot Seekers in 33:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 53%
Series resultSlot Seekers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2