BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Solo Teamwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
By_Owl Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Solo Team
Jakiro
Lukawa · 4 games
Phantom Assassin
ssnovv1 · 4 games
Disruptor
Lukawa · 3 games
Slardar
Stariy bog · 3 games
Clockwerk
FrostNova · 2 games
Dragon Knight
Stariy bog · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
Lich
Lukawa · 2 games
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 5 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Нексюша · 3 games
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 3 games
Magnus
meLes · 3 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
by_Owl · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
446 picks · 419 bans
Snapfire
435 picks · 219 bans
Puck
351 picks · 931 bans
Pugna
325 picks · 369 bans
Warlock
293 picks · 148 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 227 bans
Batrider
280 picks · 665 bans
Queen of Pain
280 picks · 854 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 70%
Hero pool strength54% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:24
Solo Team 51%By_Owl Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 40:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopterssnovv1
Phantom LancerKoma`
WindrangerStariy bog
Storm Spiritavice
Death ProphetSolo
DoommeLes
WarlockLukawa
SnapfireНексюша
PudgeFrostNova
Disruptorby_Owl
Game 2prediction correct38:19
Solo Team 53%By_Owl Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 42:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursassnovv1
LunaKoma`
SlardarStariy bog
Void Spiritavice
ZeusLukawa
Primal BeastmeLes
Witch DoctorSolo
Warlockby_Owl
Centaur WarrunnerFrostNova
Shadow DemonНексюша
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 55%
Series resultSolo Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2