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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Solo Teamloss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Daxak Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Solo Team

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 7 games
57%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 5 games
40%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Melharucos · 4 games
75%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 4 games
50%
Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
100%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Alberkaaa · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand King
Dread · 4 games
25%

Daxak Team

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
r4dom1r · 4 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Groom · 3 games
100%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Daxak · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Unique · 3 games
100%
Sand King
Sand King
Daxak · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Groom · 2 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Daxak · 2 games
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Unique · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
485 picks · 292 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
347 picks · 144 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
340 picks · 157 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 465 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
295 picks · 298 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 451 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
275 picks · 255 bans
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
268 picks · 195 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength56% Daxak Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:44
Solo Team 54%Daxak Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 41:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaAlberkaaa
49% · 133 games50% · 92 games
Morphlingeccobladee2k
Morphling
Windranger
WindrangeriLTW
46% · 332 games50% · 129 games
UndyingDaxak
Undying
Weaver
WeaverDread
45% · 92 games48% · 145 games
Earth Spiritya sulen
Earth Spirit
Lion
LionMelharucos
58% · 153 games51% · 531 game
HoodwinkGroom
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskSolo
53% · 450 games50% · 263 games
RingmasterWeeeNy
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct35:20
Solo Team 51%Daxak Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 37:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopteriLTW
46% · 129 games57% · 19 games
Ioeccobladee2k
Io
Necrophos
NecrophosDread
43% · 61 game58% · 297 games
Ember Spiritya sulen
Ember Spirit
Earthshaker
EarthshakerAlberkaaa
46% · 43 games53% · 63 games
EnigmaDaxak
Enigma
Jakiro
JakiroSolo
45% · 255 games53% · 73 games
GrimstrokeGroom
Grimstroke
Abaddon
AbaddonMelharucos
49% · 97 games49% · 133 games
DazzleWeeeNy
Dazzle
Game 3prediction missed27:33
Solo Team 57%Daxak Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Daxak Team in 39:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KeziLTW
53% · 199 games42% · 94 games
Terrorbladeeccobladee2k
Terrorblade
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightAlberkaaa
51% · 168 games42% · 224 games
Storm Spiritya sulen
Storm Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinDread
54% · 93 games55% · 123 games
TimbersawDaxak
Timbersaw
Mirana
MiranaSolo
54% · 138 games44% · 197 games
ClockwerkGroom
Clockwerk
Venomancer
VenomancerMelharucos
61% · 88 games44% · 48 games
PugnaWeeeNy
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 60%
Series resultDaxak Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3