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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Solo Teamwin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
gpK~ Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Solo Team

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Melharucos · 5 games
80%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 5 games
60%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 5 games
40%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 4 games
50%
Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
100%
Lion
Lion
Melharucos · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolier
Alberkaaa · 4 games
50%

gpK~ Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 291 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
355 picks · 151 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
352 picks · 159 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 472 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
301 picks · 298 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 463 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
280 picks · 263 bans
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
268 picks · 183 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% gpK~ Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Solo Team 47%gpK~ Team 53%
The model gave 53% on gpK~ Team — the game was taken by Solo Team.
Game 2prediction missed30:23
Solo Team 48%gpK~ Team 52%
The model gave 52% on gpK~ Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 37:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordiLTW
46% · 34 games51% · 117 games
JuggernautgpK~
Juggernaut
Snapfire
SnapfireAlberkaaa
49% · 199 games49% · 103 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Lycan
LycanDread
50% · 65 games51% · 68 games
Night StalkerShachlo
Night Stalker
Jakiro
JakiroSolo
53% · 140 games56% · 145 games
RubickLukawa
Rubick
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerMelharucos
44% · 43 games46% · 48 games
Winter WyvernZloba
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoritegpK~ Team · 53%
Series resultSolo Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2