Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
South Teamwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gghostssloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
South Team
No games played over 6 months.
ghostss
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
465 picks · 640 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 495 bans
Bane
437 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
425 picks · 561 bans
Dragon Knight
367 picks · 423 bans
Storm Spirit
363 picks · 610 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
340 picks · 804 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% South Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% South Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteSouth Team · 51%
Series resultSouth Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect