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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
SPAWN Teamwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Reaperloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

SPAWN Team

Silencer
Silenceroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
dalul · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
TraVins · 8 games
38%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Jikroy · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 7 games
43%
Tiny
Tiny
dalul · 7 games
57%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
Jikroy · 6 games
83%

Reaper

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
421 picks · 428 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
404 picks · 273 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
403 picks · 385 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
305 picks · 313 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
269 picks · 318 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
245 picks · 130 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
220 picks · 154 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
218 picks · 585 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 20%
Hero pool strength53% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% SPAWN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:25
SPAWN Team 65%Reaper 35%
The model gave 65% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 47:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingJikroy
45% · 117 games50% · 546 games
TinyFearless
Tiny
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMamangDaya
56% · 66 games
Lycan
LycanRed
56% · 60 games
Snapfire
Snapfiredalul
44% · 164 games
Mirana
MiranaTraVins
50% · 139 games
Game 2prediction correct43:38
SPAWN Team 66%Reaper 34%
The model gave 66% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 52:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingJikroy
53% · 28 games49% · 186 games
BatriderFearless
Batrider
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMamangDaya
54% · 52 games
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetRed
43% · 24 games
Tusk
Tuskdalul
46% · 44 games
Mirana
MiranaTraVins
60% · 38 games
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN Team · 79%
Series resultSPAWN Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2