BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
SPAWN Teamloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
UD Vessuwanwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN Team
Tusksignature
dalul · 15 games
Miranasignature
TraVins · 13 games
Morphlingsignature
Jikroy · 11 games
Rubick
TraVins · 11 games
Silencer
TraVins · 11 games
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
Marcisignature
dalul · 9 games
Tinysignature
dalul · 8 games
UD Vessuwan
Snapfire
Jhocam · 7 games
Rubick
boombell · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 5 games
Tiny
Beebie · 5 games
Tusk
boombell · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
Doomoften banned
tnt · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
LionaX · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
502 picks · 337 bans
Tusk
483 picks · 474 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 415 bans
Mirana
346 picks · 340 bans
Treant Protector
346 picks · 398 bans
Snapfire
298 picks · 157 bans
Ember Spirit
269 picks · 681 bans
Pangolier
261 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 31%
Hero pool strength65% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% SPAWN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:35
SPAWN Team 65%UD Vessuwan 35%
The model gave 65% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 23:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkJikroy
SniperBeebie
ViperRed
LycanKNP
PhoenixMamangDaya
Batriderboombell
Marcidalul
DisruptorLionaX
SilencerTraVins
Treant ProtectorMyPro
Game 2prediction missed30:42
SPAWN Team 67%UD Vessuwan 33%
The model gave 67% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by UD Vessuwan in 39:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkJikroy
Nature's ProphetKNP
UnderlordMamangDaya
TinyBeebie
MarciRed
Pangolierboombell
Tuskdalul
Treant ProtectorLionaX
MiranaTraVins
Skywrath MageMyPro
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN Team · 75%
Series resultUD Vessuwan 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2