BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
SPAWN Teamloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
XERXIAwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN Team
Tusk
dalul · 16 games
Mirana
TraVins · 14 games
Silencer
TraVins · 12 games
Marcioften banned
dalul · 11 games
Morphlingsignature
Jikroy · 11 games
Rubick
TraVins · 11 games
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
Tinysignature
dalul · 8 games
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
502 picks · 337 bans
Tusk
485 picks · 474 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 414 bans
Treant Protector
349 picks · 401 bans
Mirana
346 picks · 340 bans
Snapfire
300 picks · 157 bans
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 681 bans
Pangolier
262 picks · 629 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 27%
Hero pool strength54% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% SPAWN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:28
SPAWN Team 55%XERXIA 45%
The model gave 55% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by XERXIA in 24:49.
Game 2prediction missed30:38
SPAWN Team 55%XERXIA 45%
The model gave 55% on SPAWN Team — the game was taken by XERXIA in 52:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN Team · 55%
Series resultXERXIA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2