BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionSSPAWNloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XERXIAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
SPAWN
No games played over 6 months.
XERXIA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
374 picks · 599 bans
Tiny
328 picks · 215 bans
Undying
312 picks · 550 bans
Primal Beast
252 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
244 picks · 375 bans
Tusk
232 picks · 140 bans
Shadow Fiend
216 picks · 274 bans
Enigma
210 picks · 732 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 31%
Hero pool strength50% SPAWN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% SPAWN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:15
SPAWN 55%XERXIA 45%
The model gave 55% on SPAWN — the game was taken by XERXIA in 26:08.
Game 2prediction missed29:58
SPAWN 55%XERXIA 45%
The model gave 55% on SPAWN — the game was taken by XERXIA in 55:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPAWN · 55%
Accuracy by game0 of 2