Snow Sweet Snow #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spider Pigzswin 2:1series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Imperial Pro Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Spider Pigzs
Linaoften banned
No!ob · 4 games
Clockwerk
dnz · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Mitch · 3 games
Rubick
dnz · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
ThuG · 2 games
Brewmaster
Mitch · 2 games
Jakiro
LeBronDota · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
No!ob · 2 games
Imperial Pro Gaming
Clockwerk
Muka · 4 games
Leshracoften banned
Askold · 4 games
Earth Spirit
Muka · 3 games
Elder Titan
antoha · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Askold · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
SuperNova · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
SuperNova · 2 games
Chen
antoha · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
69 picks · 149 bans
Puck
58 picks · 165 bans
Earth Spirit
56 picks · 47 bans
Void Spirit
48 picks · 97 bans
Undying
46 picks · 68 bans
Rubick
45 picks · 24 bans
Phoenix
44 picks · 56 bans
Monkey King
43 picks · 94 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 71%
Hero pool strength68% Imperial Pro Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Imperial Pro Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial Pro Gaming · 79%
Series resultSpider Pigzs 2:1
Series predictionmissed