Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
sQreen's Squadloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MooN teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sQreen's Squad
No games played over 6 months.
MooN team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
462 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 498 bans
Bane
431 picks · 267 bans
Sand King
414 picks · 536 bans
Death Prophet
353 picks · 804 bans
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 567 bans
Pangolier
343 picks · 511 bans
Dragon Knight
341 picks · 375 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% sQreen's Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% MooN team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:15
sQreen's Squad 41%MooN team 59%
The model gave 59% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 24:05.
Game 2prediction correct19:30
sQreen's Squad 41%MooN team 59%
The model gave 59% on MooN team — the game was taken by MooN team in 31:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteMooN team · 59%
Series resultMooN team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2