BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stariy_bog Teamloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Stray Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stariy_bog Team
Enigmaoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Linaoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Lion
FlexSlut · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
Marcioften banned
FlexSlut · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
krylat · 1 game
Ogre Magi
FlexSlut · 1 game
Stray Team
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 3 games
Dark Willow
lowkez · 2 games
Muerta
Retsu · 2 games
Nyx Assassin
Stray · 2 games
Rubick
lowkez · 2 games
Silencer
Vovapain · 2 games
Slardar
Stray · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Vovapain · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 638 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 649 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength61% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:44
Stariy_bog Team 50%Stray Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 32:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer4IVAN
TinyRetsu
Dawnbreakerkrylat
Night StalkerDkFogas
MagnusStariy bog
SniperStray
Witch DoctorFlexSlut
Dark Willowlowkez
47% · 11 games
Vengeful SpiritVovapain
Game 2prediction correct25:42
Stariy_bog Team 48%Stray Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 47:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter4IVAN
LycanDkFogas
Underlordkrylat
WeaverRetsu
Nyx AssassinStariy bog
TidehunterStray
WarlockFlexSlut
SilencerVovapain
50% · 85 games
Shadow Shamanlowkez
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 51%
Series resultStray Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2