Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Stellar Gamingwin 1:0series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DMSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stellar Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
DMS
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
466 picks · 221 bans
Tiny
410 picks · 639 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
394 picks · 698 bans
Centaur Warrunner
394 picks · 562 bans
Rubick
367 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 756 bans
Shadow Demon
330 picks · 930 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Stellar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% DMS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Stellar Gaming 22%DMS 78%
The model gave 78% on DMS — the game was taken by Stellar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteDMS · 78%
Series resultStellar Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1