Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Stratyk Gamingwin 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
LGLet's Goloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stratyk Gaming
Drow Rangeroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Wraith Kingoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Let's Go
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
469 picks · 579 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 684 bans
Mars
424 picks · 609 bans
Kunkka
347 picks · 552 bans
Spirit Breaker
337 picks · 571 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 157 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 370 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% Stratyk Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Stratyk Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Stratyk Gaming 52%Let's Go 48%
The model gave 52% on Stratyk Gaming — the game was taken by Stratyk Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteStratyk Gaming · 52%
Series resultStratyk Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1