BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nix Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
300 picks · 436 bans
Phoenix
274 picks · 410 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 442 bans
Lion
229 picks · 207 bans
Tusk
229 picks · 212 bans
Nature's Prophet
227 picks · 640 bans
Vengeful Spirit
224 picks · 118 bans
Pangolier
218 picks · 310 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:46
Stray Team 43%Nix Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 43:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 57%
Series resultNix Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1