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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rostik Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophossignature
Stray · 8 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 7 games
29%
Sniper
Sniper
Stray · 7 games
43%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 7 games
29%
Tusk
Tusk
Vovapain · 7 games
57%
Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 5 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Goodoq · 4 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Vovapain · 4 games
75%

Rostik Team

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 2 games
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
100%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Vlad · 2 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Vlad · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
500 picks · 297 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
383 picks · 169 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
370 picks · 164 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 491 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
310 picks · 309 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
299 picks · 284 bans
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 483 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
273 picks · 366 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Rostik Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:13
Stray Team 41%Rostik Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 40:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerzvёzd
51% · 134 games48% · 371 game
Centaur Warrunneregxrdemxn
Centaur Warrunner
Timbersaw
TimbersawDkFogas
50% · 218 games44% · 373 games
Storm Spiritrostislav_999
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStray
51% · 516 games60% · 83 games
SlarkOtaker
Slark
Mirana
MiranaFervian
48% · 148 games49% · 223 games
RingmasterVlad
Ringmaster
Venomancer
Venomancergood_mma
51% · 72 games56% · 38 games
Ancient Apparitionyurapivo
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed38:31
Stray Team 42%Rostik Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 1:01:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenzvёzd
40% · 40 games53% · 90 games
TerrorbladeOtaker
Terrorblade
Death Prophet
Death ProphetStray
40% · 14 games52% · 112 games
Techiesrostislav_999
Techies
Windranger
WindrangerDkFogas
48% · 184 games43% · 13 games
Legion Commanderegxrdemxn
Legion Commander
Earthshaker
EarthshakerFervian
45% · 47 games55% · 113 games
Winter WyvernVlad
Winter Wyvern
Lich
Lichgood_mma
52% · 88 games58% · 45 games
Witch Doctoryurapivo
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 65%
Series resultStray Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2