The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
summer bearwin 1:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KKundaliniloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 1 game
Gyrocopter
zuyzyan · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Kezoften banned
zuyzyan · 1 game
Legion Commander
azimoff · 1 game
Omniknight
monodrama · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Kundalini
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
607 picks · 389 bans
Rubick
508 picks · 281 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 578 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 383 bans
Pangolier
417 picks · 583 bans
Puck
341 picks · 946 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 278 bans
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 490 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Kundalini
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% summer bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:17
summer bear 63%Kundalini 37%
The model gave 63% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear in 27:52.
Model check result
Model favoritesummer bear · 63%
Series resultsummer bear 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1