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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
summer bearwin 1:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PuckChamploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

summer bear

Techies
Techies
Delight · 14 games
43%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
kae · 9 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Delight · 8 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 5 games
40%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
zuyzyan · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
monodrama · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
monodrama · 5 games
80%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 4 games
75%

PuckChamp

Techies
Techiessignature
Gothic- · 10 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
спортик · 9 games
44%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Hyugadoto · 9 games
22%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Yuragi · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
krol9ash · 7 games
57%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Yuragi · 7 games
29%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hyugadoto · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
481 picks · 328 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
343 picks · 459 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
334 picks · 515 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 500 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 641 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
285 picks · 313 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 195 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 39%
Hero pool strength53% summer bear
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% summer bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:4
summer bear 53%PuckChamp 47%
The model gave 53% on summer bear — the game was taken by summer bear in 27:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerOtaker
49% · 270 games47% · 48 games
Earthshakerспортик
Earthshaker
Underlord
UnderlordfortniteMan
50% · 246 games55% · 94 games
Lone DruidYuragi
Lone Druid
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritPanda
54% · 369 games46% · 222 games
Tidehunterkrol9ash
Tidehunter
Techies
TechiesDelight
46% · 196 games51% · 535 games
HoodwinkGothic-
Hoodwink
50% · 182 games
BaneHyugadoto
Bane
Model check result
Model favoritesummer bear · 56%
Series resultsummer bear 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1