The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
summer bearloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Bald Rebornwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
summer bear
Techies
Delight · 4 games
Axeoften banned
azimoff · 2 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Hoodwink
Delight · 2 games
Legion Commander
azimoff · 2 games
Muertaoften banned
zuyzyan · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Team Bald Reborn
Clockwerkoften banned
bengan · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 2 games
Hoodwink
mrls · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Shad · 2 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
bengan · 2 games
Bane
bengan · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 422 bans
Rubick
542 picks · 305 bans
Phoenix
488 picks · 588 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 400 bans
Pangolier
431 picks · 633 bans
Puck
355 picks · 1011 bans
Tusk
348 picks · 298 bans
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:31
summer bear 38%Team Bald Reborn 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 34:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SnapfirePanda
Shadow FiendShad
Pangolierazimoff
Queen of PainSancity
Kezzuyzyan
UndyingXibbe
TechiesDelight
Keeper of the Lightmrls
50% · 159 games
Clockwerkbengan
Game 2prediction correct8:38
summer bear 38%Team Bald Reborn 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 22:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendzuyzyan
Templar AssassinShad
Primal Beastazimoff
LycanXibbe
Keeper of the LightPanda
Ember SpiritSancity
TechiesDelight
Hoodwinkmrls
51% · 123 games
Clockwerkbengan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 70%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2