Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSylar Teamloss 1:3
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:3
HTHao Teamwin 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
546 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 571 bans
Rubick
434 picks · 230 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
358 picks · 488 bans
Jakiro
336 picks · 228 bans
Puck
320 picks · 851 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 817 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Sylar Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Sylar Team 36%Hao Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Sylar Team 36%Hao Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Sylar Team 36%Hao Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Sylar Team 36%Hao Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 64%
Series resultHao Team 1:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4