Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSylar Teamloss 1:3
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:3
HTHao Teamwin 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
611 picks · 381 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 576 bans
Puck
355 picks · 951 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 885 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Sylar Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Sylar Team 33%Hao Team 67%
The model gave 67% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Sylar Team 33%Hao Team 67%
The model gave 67% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Sylar Team 33%Hao Team 67%
The model gave 67% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Sylar Team 33%Hao Team 67%
The model gave 67% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 67%
Series resultHao Team 1:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4