Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionSTSylar Teamloss 2:3
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:3
ZTZhou Teamwin 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Sylar Team
No games played over 6 months.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
540 picks · 331 bans
Phoenix
505 picks · 590 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 370 bans
Rubick
407 picks · 221 bans
Jakiro
389 picks · 285 bans
Puck
343 picks · 880 bans
Tusk
341 picks · 306 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 853 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Sylar Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Zhou Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Sylar Team 48%Zhou Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Zhou Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Sylar Team 48%Zhou Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Zhou Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Sylar Team 48%Zhou Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Zhou Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 4prediction missed
Sylar Team 48%Zhou Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Zhou Team — the game was taken by Sylar Team.
Game 5prediction correct
Sylar Team 48%Zhou Team 52%
The model gave 52% on Zhou Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteZhou Team · 52%
Series resultZhou Team 2:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5