LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
T1win 2:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lionsignature
Q · 17 games
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 9 games
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
Grimstrokesignature
boombell · 7 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
437 picks · 184 bans
Hoodwink
336 picks · 129 bans
Nyx Assassin
315 picks · 626 bans
Puck
309 picks · 680 bans
Ancient Apparition
304 picks · 470 bans
Mars
295 picks · 522 bans
Dragon Knight
273 picks · 346 bans
Lina
263 picks · 358 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 49%
Hero pool strength61% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:13
T1 57%Motivate.Trust Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on T1 — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 36:07.
Game 2prediction missed28:47
T1 57%Motivate.Trust Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on T1 — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 52:20.
Game 3prediction missed24:22
T1 57%Motivate.Trust Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on T1 — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 36:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 57%
Series resultT1 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3