2022 Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Таиландwin 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Гонконгloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Гонконг
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
308 picks · 153 bans
Ember Spirit
219 picks · 287 bans
Pangolier
211 picks · 411 bans
Beastmaster
196 picks · 387 bans
Skywrath Mage
191 picks · 109 bans
Storm Spirit
188 picks · 273 bans
Dark Seer
185 picks · 353 bans
Doom
172 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Таиланд
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Таиланд
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Таиланд 65%Гонконг 35%
The model gave 65% on Таиланд — the game was taken by Таиланд.
Model check result
Model favoriteТаиланд · 65%
Series resultТаиланд 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1