DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Silencer
Oli · 25 games
Rubick
Oli · 19 games
Void Spirit
Mikoto · 17 games
Batridersignature
Q · 16 games
Morphlingoften banned
23savage · 16 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mikoto · 16 games
Techiessignature
Q · 16 games
Windrangeroften banned
Mikoto · 16 games
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 39 games
Rubick
Antares · 34 games
Techies
Antares · 34 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 30 games
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 29 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
376 picks · 185 bans
Ember Spirit
295 picks · 414 bans
Undying
248 picks · 424 bans
Batrider
232 picks · 366 bans
Storm Spirit
232 picks · 380 bans
Techies
229 picks · 181 bans
Morphling
224 picks · 420 bans
Pangolier
222 picks · 436 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% 9Pandas
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total50% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:27
Talon Esports 50%9Pandas 50%
The model gave 50% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 33:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling23savage
GyrocopterRAMZES666
PangolierMikoto
Primal BeastMieRo
Dark SeerJabz
Invokerkiyotaka
ClockwerkQ
MarciAntares
SilencerOli
Vengeful SpiritSolo
Game 2prediction correct26:31
Talon Esports 49%9Pandas 51%
The model gave 51% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 45:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade23savage
MedusaRAMZES666
PangolierMikoto
Earthshakerkiyotaka
UnderlordJabz
BeastmasterMieRo
Dark WillowQ
TechiesAntares
EnchantressOli
Treant ProtectorSolo
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 50%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2