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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Q · 29 games
59%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Q · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Q · 25 games
68%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 24 games
75%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Oli · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 19 games
68%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 18 games
72%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 18 games
83%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
81%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 21 game
62%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 18 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
715 picks · 512 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
578 picks · 509 bans
53%
Doom
Doom
561 picks · 1095 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
548 picks · 1232 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
541 picks · 594 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
469 picks · 927 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1049 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
458 picks · 660 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:27
Talon Esports 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
Slark23savage
47% · 137 games58% · 196 games
Monkey KingNightfall
Monkey King
Puck
PuckMikoto
47% · 246 games40% · 211 games
EnchantressPure~
Enchantress
Underlord
UnderlordJabz
55% · 119 games52% · 212 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Batrider
BatriderQ
53% · 265 games48% · 146 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Silencer
SilencerOli
47% · 251 game53% · 253 games
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed25:4
Talon Esports 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 36:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorblade23savage
49% · 232 games51% · 352 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMikoto
44% · 370 games55% · 102 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Brewmaster
BrewmasterJabz
44% · 70 games54% · 542 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaQ
49% · 327 games50% · 160 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Silencer
SilencerOli
52% · 251 game51% · 94 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction missed33:9
Talon Esports 38%BETBOOM TEAM 62%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 35:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphling23savage
51% · 269 games47% · 115 games
Faceless VoidNightfall
Faceless Void
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMikoto
49% · 444 games52% · 241 game
DoomPure~
Doom
Dark Seer
Dark SeerJabz
49% · 120 games52% · 306 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerQ
47% · 189 games48% · 211 games
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
Silencer
Elder Titan
Elder TitanOli
55% · 32 games53% · 181 game
TechiesSave-
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 70%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3