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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:1
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EHOMEloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Mikoto · 14 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Q · 12 games
42%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
45%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Q · 11 games
55%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Q · 11 games
64%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
kpii · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Q · 7 games
29%

EHOME

Disruptor
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Night · 16 games
63%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
CatYou · 11 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Night · 10 games
40%
Marci
Marcioften banned
xiaoyu154 · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
mks- · 8 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 7 games
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
xiaoyu154 · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
511 picks · 346 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 481 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
477 picks · 419 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
359 picks · 415 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
353 picks · 341 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
305 picks · 159 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
277 picks · 688 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
267 picks · 630 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% EHOME
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:42
Talon Esports 62%EHOME 38%
The model gave 62% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by EHOME in 38:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMikoto
57% · 351 game47% · 215 games
Dawnbreakermks-
Dawnbreaker
Broodmother
BroodmotherJabz
48% · 143 games45% · 216 games
Dragon KnightNight
Dragon Knight
Slardar
Slardar23savage
50% · 56 games50% · 326 games
Pangolierxiaoyu154
Pangolier
Mirana
MiranaQ
55% · 270 games43% · 188 games
Skywrath MageCatYou
Skywrath Mage
Bane
BaneOli
57% · 279 games46% · 154 games
Crystal MaidenLwwnb
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct29:3
Talon Esports 59%EHOME 41%
The model gave 59% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 24:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Ranger23savage
50% · 86 games49% · 201 game
Linamks-
Lina
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMikoto
48% · 145 games49% · 114 games
Beastmasterxiaoyu154
Beastmaster
Broodmother
BroodmotherJabz
48% · 132 games49% · 177 games
MarsNight
Mars
Rubick
RubickQ
49% · 311 games55% · 142 games
Crystal MaidenCatYou
Crystal Maiden
Elder Titan
Elder TitanOli
41% · 17 games58% · 57 games
SvenLwwnb
Sven
Game 3prediction correct31:12
Talon Esports 62%EHOME 38%
The model gave 62% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 29:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassin23savage
45% · 64 games44% · 69 games
Troll Warlordmks-
Troll Warlord
Tusk
TuskMikoto
49% · 188 games52% · 55 games
Underlordxiaoyu154
Underlord
Broodmother
BroodmotherJabz
53% · 117 games49% · 153 games
Primal BeastNight
Primal Beast
Mirana
MiranaQ
59% · 135 games48% · 61 game
EarthshakerCatYou
Earthshaker
Riki
RikiOli
51% · 27 games50% · 193 games
Crystal MaidenLwwnb
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 68%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3