The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:1series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kopiteloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 26 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 26 games
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 26 games
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
Linasignature
Mikoto · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Mikoto · 24 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Jhocam · 22 games
Doomsignature
Ws · 21 game
Kopite
Grimstroke
Bombi · 1 game
Puckoften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
557 picks · 616 bans
Ringmaster
480 picks · 240 bans
Jakiro
462 picks · 434 bans
Terrorblade
394 picks · 808 bans
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 540 bans
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 815 bans
Tusk
351 picks · 316 bans
Shadow Shaman
348 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:13
Talon Esports 80%Kopite 20%
The model gave 80% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 29:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback23savage
HuskarGaN-
Monkey KingMikoto
OracleBombi
MiranaKuku
MagnusWs
Shadow ShamanJhocam
Game 2prediction missed14:33
Talon Esports 78%Kopite 22%
The model gave 78% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Kopite in 31:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny23savage
Ember SpiritGaN-
PangolierMikoto
OracleBombi
MagnusWs
Nature's ProphetKuku
WindrangerJhocam
Game 3prediction correct26:9
Talon Esports 78%Kopite 22%
The model gave 78% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 28:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperMikoto
PuckGaN-
BristlebackWs
Ancient ApparitionBombi
Omniknight23savage
TuskJhocam
Crystal MaidenKuku
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 94%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3