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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Kuku · 18 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Ponyo · 17 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 17 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kuku · 16 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ws · 14 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 13 games
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 12 games
67%

Yangon Galacticos

Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
75%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 661 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
431 picks · 505 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 551 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
365 picks · 186 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
335 picks · 360 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
325 picks · 432 bans
55%
Invoker
Invoker
313 picks · 870 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 610 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 58%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total83% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:10
Talon Esports 71%Yangon Galacticos 29%
The model gave 71% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 31:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterWs
48% · 106 games46% · 324 games
Dragon KnightKsh
Dragon Knight
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNatsumi
50% · 167 games55% · 173 games
Monkey KingYoung PH
Monkey King
Viper
ViperMikoto
55% · 52 games
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKuku
48% · 38 games
Lion
LionJhocam
47% · 134 games
Game 2prediction correct50:13
Talon Esports 70%Yangon Galacticos 30%
The model gave 70% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 35:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawWs
50% · 138 games53% · 409 games
Dragon KnightKsh
Dragon Knight
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNatsumi
42% · 168 games58% · 176 games
InvokerYoung PH
Invoker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMikoto
40% · 93 games
Batrider
BatriderJhocam
45% · 164 games
Lich
LichKuku
45% · 22 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 83%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2