FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Tapohloss 0:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
4Pirateswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tapoh
No games played over 6 months.
4Pirates
Muerta
ariel · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 5 games
Lion
ariel · 4 games
Ogre Magi
PERDAN4IK · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Otaker · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Underlord
мистер мораль · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
492 picks · 678 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 483 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 527 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
347 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
307 picks · 599 bans
Batrider
304 picks · 318 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 4Pirates
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Tapoh 47%4Pirates 53%
The model gave 53% on 4Pirates — the game was taken by 4Pirates.
Model check result
Model favorite4Pirates · 53%
Series result4Pirates 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1