RES Regional Champions: Belgrade · BO3
result vs prediction
Team 123loss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team 123
No games played over 6 months.
PARIVISION
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
342 picks · 458 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 297 bans
Tusk
326 picks · 449 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 213 bans
Enchantress
313 picks · 566 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 460 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 373 bans
Luna
258 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team 123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
Team 123 11%PARIVISION 89%
The model gave 89% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:30.
Game 2prediction correct13:32
Team 123 11%PARIVISION 89%
The model gave 89% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:05.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 89%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2