FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTATeam ARXILICHloss 0:1
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team ARXILICH
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Snapfire
Shishak · 17 games
Batrideroften banned
jesv · 16 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
Rubick
jesv · 16 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 13 games
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 12 games
Crystal Maiden
aik · 12 games
Underlord
MikSa` · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
492 picks · 678 bans
Clockwerk
418 picks · 483 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 527 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 181 bans
Luna
347 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
307 picks · 599 bans
Batrider
304 picks · 318 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 25%
Hero pool strength53% Team ARXILICH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team ARXILICH 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 57%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1