DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
9Pandasloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Aster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xxs · 22 games
Disruptor
Fantasy · 22 games
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Xwy · 21 game
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 21 game
Doomoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Xwy · 19 games
Rubick
BoBoKa · 19 games
9Pandas
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 24 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 22 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 634 bans
Disruptor
603 picks · 534 bans
Doom
532 picks · 1046 bans
Beastmaster
531 picks · 1315 bans
Ember Spirit
461 picks · 1176 bans
Pangolier
458 picks · 947 bans
Techies
443 picks · 459 bans
Mirana
439 picks · 225 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Team Aster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:8
Team Aster 50%9Pandas 50%
The model gave 50% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Team Aster in 27:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomXxs
Templar Assassinkiyotaka
Void SpiritMonet
TimbersawMieRo
SnapfireSumaiL
SlardarRAMZES666
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
EnchantressAntares
MiranaFantasy
DisruptorSolo
Game 2prediction missed12:31
Team Aster 50%9Pandas 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Aster — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 35:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaMonet
WindrangerRAMZES666
Ember SpiritSumaiL
Pangolierkiyotaka
MagnusXxs
BeastmasterMieRo
VenomancerFantasy
BatriderAntares
PugnaBoBoKa
SilencerSolo
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2