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ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 14 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
White丶Album · 13 games
62%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
White丶Album · 13 games
69%
Abaddon
Abaddon
LaNm · 12 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
LaNm · 12 games
58%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
LaNm · 10 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Monet · 9 games
89%
Luna
Lunasignature
LaNm · 8 games
63%

Vici Gaming

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 13 games
62%
Mars
Marssignature
ELeVeN · 11 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 10 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 10 games
80%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 10 games
90%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Dy · 9 games
44%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
poyoyo · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 990 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
412 picks · 600 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
360 picks · 640 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
323 picks · 626 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
320 picks · 277 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
263 picks · 176 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
258 picks · 425 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
256 picks · 365 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Aster
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Team Aster
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:42
Team Aster 51%Vici Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Aster — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 47:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingMonet
56% · 73 games47% · 38 games
Terrorbladepoyoyo
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritWhite丶Album
47% · 29 games48% · 48 games
Ember SpiritOri
Ember Spirit
Batrider
BatriderXxs
51% · 43 games49% · 28 games
Elder TitanPyw
Elder Titan
Death Prophet
Death ProphetLaNm
47% · 87 games52% · 61 game
PangolierELeVeN
Pangolier
51% · 57 games
Nyx AssassinDy
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct15:24
Team Aster 48%Vici Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 29:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetWhite丶Album
48% · 113 games57% · 53 games
Monkey Kingpoyoyo
Monkey King
Riki
RikiMonet
45% · 26 games50% · 24 games
LeshracOri
Leshrac
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerXxs
49% · 38 games63% · 36 games
PangolierELeVeN
Pangolier
Abaddon
AbaddonLaNm
49% · 47 games50% · 61 game
Shadow ShamanPyw
Shadow Shaman
41% · 50 games
OracleDy
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Aster · 52%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2