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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Bald Rebornloss 0:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Chicken Fighterswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bald Reborn

Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pablo · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rajjix · 5 games
40%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Excalibur · 4 games
75%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Eixn · 4 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Pablo · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 3 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Gorgc · 3 games
67%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Gorgc · 3 games
67%

Chicken Fighters

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 320 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
406 picks · 594 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
343 picks · 413 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
339 picks · 767 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
327 picks · 179 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
267 picks · 446 bans
56%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
262 picks · 377 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
242 picks · 330 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 77%
Hero pool strength53% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Chicken Fighters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:29
Team Bald Reborn 33%Chicken Fighters 67%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 26:46.
Game 2prediction correct10:19
Team Bald Reborn 33%Chicken Fighters 67%
The model gave 67% on Chicken Fighters — the game was taken by Chicken Fighters in 19:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteChicken Fighters · 67%
Series resultChicken Fighters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2