Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Barsloss 0:1series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Bars
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 638 bans
Batrider
417 picks · 725 bans
Centaur Warrunner
407 picks · 576 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 797 bans
Shadow Demon
342 picks · 954 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Bars 22%Nemiga Gaming 78%
The model gave 78% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 78%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1