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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Cake Teamwin 2:0
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Solo Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cake Team

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 2 games
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Cake · 2 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Limitless · 2 games
100%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mage
Smiling Knight · 1 game
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Shishak · 1 game
0%

Solo Team

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 7 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Melharucos · 5 games
80%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Alberkaaa · 5 games
60%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 5 games
40%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 4 games
50%
Largo
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
100%
Lion
Lion
Melharucos · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
496 picks · 295 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
376 picks · 166 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
366 picks · 161 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 484 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
309 picks · 308 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
298 picks · 278 bans
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 478 bans
53%
Undying
Undying
271 picks · 366 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:23
Cake Team 38%Solo Team 62%
The model gave 62% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 43:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSmiling Knight
58% · 74 games49% · 89 games
Naga SireniLTW
Naga Siren
Doom
DoomLimitless
55% · 70 games38% · 127 games
DawnbreakerDread
Dawnbreaker
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainCake
47% · 94 games56% · 78 games
GrimstrokeAlberkaaa
Grimstroke
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetShishak
50% · 88 games43% · 144 games
DazzleMelharucos
Dazzle
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demondabex
56% · 145 games48% · 33 games
Crystal MaidenSolo
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed31:23
Cake Team 38%Solo Team 62%
The model gave 62% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 35:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerSmiling Knight
43% · 16 games53% · 215 games
WindrangeriLTW
Windranger
Brewmaster
BrewmasterLimitless
41% · 59 games53% · 63 games
Earth SpiritAlberkaaa
Earth Spirit
Magnus
MagnusCake
59% · 20 games62% · 107 games
PugnaDread
Pugna
Techies
TechiesShishak
44% · 121 game46% · 77 games
MiranaSolo
Mirana
Jakiro
Jakirodabex
51% · 255 games48% · 9 games
Vengeful SpiritMelharucos
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 74%
Series resultCake Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2