PNXBET Invitationals Southeast Asia Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionTDTeam Dloss 1:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team D
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
Anti-Mageoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Axeoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
vtFαded · 1 game
Lion
Ponlo · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
Oracleoften banned
Ponlo · 1 game
Phoenix
Ponlo · 1 game
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 12 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 12 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 9 games
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 6 games
Phoenixsignature
Poloson · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
461 picks · 182 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 202 bans
Mars
351 picks · 557 bans
Puck
330 picks · 827 bans
Ancient Apparition
318 picks · 476 bans
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 608 bans
Tiny
305 picks · 243 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 61%