The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Denloss 0:2series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Den
No games played over 6 months.
Team Sin Compromiso
Linaoften banned
Parker · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 2 games
Bane
Panda · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Sacred · 1 game
Phoenix
Sacred · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
484 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
479 picks · 564 bans
Ringmaster
450 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 709 bans
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 490 bans
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 724 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
292 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 78%
Hero pool strength60% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:44
Team Den 22%Team Sin Compromiso 78%
The model gave 78% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 58:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyWits
GyrocopterParker
Centaur WarrunnerFrank
BristlebackDarkMago
Shadow ShamanDemon
Naga SirenPanda
Ancient ApparitionMjz
MuertaGenek
56% · 124 games
EnigmaSacred
Game 2prediction correct11:34
Team Den 22%Team Sin Compromiso 78%
The model gave 78% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 27:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingWits
GyrocopterParker
UnderlordFrank
DoomSacred
Elder TitanMjz
MarsDarkMago
Shadow ShamanDemon
WeaverGenek
68% · 25 games
OraclePanda
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 92%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2