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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Северная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DogChamploss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
4 Zoomerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team DogChamp

Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
44%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 7 games
43%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
57%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lancersignature
StoneBank · 6 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
lukiluki · 6 games
33%

4 Zoomers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
442 picks · 269 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 543 bans
56%
Weaver
Weaver
328 picks · 413 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
313 picks · 567 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
299 picks · 323 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
296 picks · 462 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
272 picks · 374 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
268 picks · 493 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total75% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:6
Team DogChamp 25%4 Zoomers 75%
The model gave 75% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 21:34.
Game 2prediction correct12:46
Team DogChamp 25%4 Zoomers 75%
The model gave 75% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 35:40.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 75%
Series result4 Zoomers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2